Interagency Intelligence Memorandum: The Likelihood of Conflict Between Greece and Turkey
CIA / DIA / INR (Interagency) FRUS intelligence_memo Secret
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Birebir pasajlar
It is within Turkey's capabilities to cut off Cyprus from any Greek access, and to launch a successful landing on the island, if it chooses. Ankara would take such action only in the unlikely event of a Greek attempt to take over the island or in order to protect a threatened Turkish minority on the island.
FRUS 1969-76 v30 D15, CIA / DIA / INR (Interagency), 1974-06-21 · Paragraph 43. The key pre-coup judgement — and the central misjudgement of the crisis
While deliberately initiated war thus seems unlikely in the near future, some sort of armed clash or incident remains possible.
FRUS 1969-76 v30 D15, CIA / DIA / INR (Interagency), 1974-06-21 · Principal Judgments
Belge künyesi
| Referans | FRUS 1969-76 v30 D15 |
|---|---|
| Kaynak kurum | CIA / DIA / INR (Interagency) — NIOs for Western Europe and Conventional Forces |
| Tarih | 1974-06-21 |
| Belge türü | intelligence_memo |
| Gizlilik derecesi | Secret |
| Arşiv | Foreign Relations of the United States — Office of the Historian (US) |
| Provenance | Filed at CIA, NIC Files Job 79-R01012A. The closest thing to an NIE on this question in the window |
Bu belgenin bağlandığı iddialar
Türkiye'nin Kıbrıs'a askerî müdahale etme olasılığı giderek artıyordu.
İstihbarat topluluğunun darbe öncesi değerlendirmesi müdahaleyi "olası değil" kutusuna koyuyor.
Bu belgeden kaydedilen değerlendirmeler
- CIA / DIA / INR (Interagency) — unlikely (1974-06-21) · "only in the unlikely event"
Varlıklar
Central Intelligence AgencyBureau of Intelligence and Research (INR)Defense Intelligence AgencyTurkeyGreeceCyprus