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Notes of Cabinet Meeting

White House FRUS wsag_minutes Top Secret

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Verbatim passages

1. We did not assume there would be no military intervention. 2. There was massing of troops on the borders. 3. Thompson said they would go to any length to push Czechs back to pre-January site.

President Lyndon Johnson — FRUS 1964-68 v17 D84, White House, 1968-08-22 · The defensive framing, in tension with the record of 24 July

The political costs the Soviets would have to pay was one reason we thought they would not move.

Dean Rusk — FRUS 1964-68 v17 D84, White House, 1968-08-22 · The analytical error named out loud: the mirror-imaging of cost calculation

Document metadata

ReferenceFRUS 1964-68 v17 D84
Originating bodyWhite House — Johnson, Rusk, Clifford
Date1968-08-22 12:16-13:50
Document typewsag_minutes
ClassificationTop Secret
ArchiveForeign Relations of the United States — Office of the Historian (US)
ProvenanceWhere the analytical error is named out loud

Claims this document bears on

supports documented

The United States observed indicators of Soviet military preparation and read them as pressure rather than preparation.

The President's own defence concedes the troop massing was known.

supports documented

Western analysis assumed Moscow would be deterred by the political costs of invading.

Stated by the Secretary of State two days after the event.

Information provenance