Memorandum for the Record: NSC meeting on Eastern Europe
NSC FRUS wsag_minutes Confidential
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Verbatim passages
Ambassador Bohlen said that the Soviets would be reluctant to resort to direct military intervention on the Hungarian pattern, and had, in fact, refrained from doing so against Romania.
Charles Bohlen — FRUS 1964-68 v17 D20, NSC, 1968-04-24 · The reasoning-from-precedent that anchored the judgement for the next four months
Document metadata
| Reference | FRUS 1964-68 v17 D20 |
|---|---|
| Originating body | NSC — Drafted by Nathaniel Davis |
| Date | 1968-04-24 |
| Document type | wsag_minutes |
| Classification | Confidential |
| Archive | Foreign Relations of the United States — Office of the Historian (US) |
| Provenance | Johnson Library, NSF, NSC Meetings File |
Claims this document bears on
contradicts
documented
Soviet military intervention in Czechoslovakia was becoming likely during the summer of 1968.
Note that the same official later dissents — a judgement can move.
corroborates
documented
Western analysis assumed Moscow would be deterred by the political costs of invading.
The April reasoning is the same shape: Moscow will be reluctant because of cost.
Assessments recorded from this document
- NSC — unlikely (1968-04-24) · "reluctant to resort to direct military intervention"